Friday, October 21, 2016

Does Trump Have a Secret Sauce?

Could Mr. Trump be intentionally throwing the election? Maybe he will trick enough rational people into believing that he has no chance to win. This would quell the anti-Trump voters from going to the polls. There is a good percentage of people planning to vote for Secretary Clinton only to prevent Mr. Trump from winning. If these people are convinced that their vote is not required to prevent a Trump presidency, they will not vote. There are millions of people that would prefer to disengage from this horrible campaign. If these people do not think their vote is needed, they will tune out and turn off (not vote).
Mr. Trump’s claim that he may not accept the election results may be the tactical maneuver that pulls this strategy off. The main stream media is playing it up as a total disqualifier. Watch the news and all you hear is how Mr. Trump has no chance to win. At the same time, Mr. Trump’s supporters have been put on notice that the system is rigged. These Trump supporters will vote in droves in an attempt to overcome the “rigged system.” Many of these supporters may also be willing to rush into the streets of America if Mr. Trump declares that he does not accept the results (assuming he loses). It could be ugly. Let us all hope that Mr. Trump does not allow this to happen.
Short and simple, Mr. Trump could be creating the appearance of a certain, devastating loss to quell Secretary Clinton’s anti-Trump voters. If that is only 7% of Secretary Clinton’s supporters, then Mr. Trump is in a dead-heat. By creating a visceral sense of unfairness, Mr. Trump maintains the enthusiasm of his ardent supporters. Here are the numbers:


Full Voter Participation
Suppressed Voter Participation
Tallies recalculated to a full 100%
Trump
42%
42%
45.2%
Clinton
-          For Clinton     42%
-          Anti-Trump      7%


49%


42%


45.2%
Others
  9%
9%
9.6%

100%
90%
100%

Note: The Anti-Trump 7% of Secretary Clinton’s total of 49% is actually 14% of her total (7 divided by 49). Could 14% of Secretary Clinton’s supporters be voting purely to prevent a Trump Presidency? Maybe. Secretary Clinton has some voter distrust issues of her own.

If there are more Trump supporters than are reporting to pollsters, Mr. Trump wins. If not, we may have a repeat of the Bush/Gore election.

No comments:

Post a Comment